GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2072 overall

Harrison Lodewyk

Centre, 21.5 years old, Calgary Hitmen (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

2%

Long shot

Scouting report

Harrison Lodewyk is a 21-year-old centre with Calgary Hitmen in the WHL, undrafted. He has 18 goals and 22 assists in 55 games, 0.73 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. At 21.5 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner2%
  5. Tweener2%
  6. AHLer10%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.73 P/GP

    18 G, 22 A in 55 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    8 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −1%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    21.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    38 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonCalgary HitmenWHL551822400.73