Prospect board, #1650 overall
Hugo Dufour
Right wing, 19.2 years old, Drummondville Voltigeurs (QMJHL), 6′1″ 190 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
3%
Scouting report
Hugo Dufour is a 19-year-old right wing with Drummondville Voltigeurs in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 5 goals and 2 assists in 9 games, 0.78 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.51 a game last season. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.58 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 190 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer1%
- Fourth-liner3%
- Tweener4%
- AHLer24%
How he got there
1His line
0.78 P/GP
5 G, 2 A in 9 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
7 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+44%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
39 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Drummondville Voltigeurs | QMJHL | 9 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0.78 |
| Last season | Drummondville Voltigeurs | QMJHL | 53 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 0.51 |