Hunter McKenzie

Left wing, 19.8 years old, Québec Remparts (QMJHL), 5′11″ 193 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

Long shot

Scouting report

Hunter McKenzie is a 19-year-old left wing with Québec Remparts in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 9 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

That is down from 0.37 a game last season, and the projection drops with it. His team scores 4.8 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.46 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. At 19.8 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 193 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner<1%
Middle-sixer<1%
Fourth-liner4%
Tweener5%
AHLer18%

How he got there

1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 9 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−22%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.8
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Québec Remparts	QMJHL	9	0	0	0	0.00
Last season	Guelph Storm	OHL	62	10	13	23	0.37