Prospect board, #1164 overall
Illia Shybinskyi
Left wing, 19.3 years old, Guelph Storm (OHL), 6′0″ 178 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
7%
Scouting report
Illia Shybinskyi is a 19-year-old left wing with Guelph Storm in the OHL, undrafted. He has 3 goals and 3 assists in 11 games, 0.55 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.4 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.53 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 178 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner7%
- Tweener12%
- AHLer37%
How he got there
1His line
0.55 P/GP
3 G, 3 A in 11 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−19%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
37 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Guelph Storm | OHL | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0.55 |
| Last season | Guelph Storm | OHL | 60 | 19 | 25 | 44 | 0.73 |