Prospect board, #238 overall
Ivan Miroshnichenko
Left wing, 22.6 years old, Hershey Bears (AHL), 6′1″ 205 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
36%
Scouting report
Ivan Miroshnichenko is a 22-year-old left wing with Hershey Bears in the AHL. He has 14 goals and 20 assists in 41 games, 0.83 a game, which works out to about 26 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 205 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 36% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 33 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer12%
- Fourth-liner36%
- Tweener (most likely)65%
- AHLer95%
How he got there
1His line
0.83 P/GP
14 G, 20 A in 41 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
27 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+7%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Hershey Bears | AHL | 41 | 14 | 20 | 34 | 0.83 |