Prospect board, #40 overall
Jaakko Wycisk
Centre, 17.5 years old, Guelph Storm (OHL), 6′2″ 206 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
53%
Scouting report
Jaakko Wycisk is a 17-year-old centre with Guelph Storm in the OHL. He has 2 goals and 5 assists in 11 games, 0.64 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.4 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.53 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 206 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 53% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 39% of a first-line career and 19% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 64 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite19%
- First-liner39%
- Middle-sixer46%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)53%
- Tweener65%
- AHLer79%
How he got there
1His line
0.64 P/GP
2 G, 5 A in 11 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−20%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
17.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
64 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Guelph Storm | OHL | 11 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0.64 |
| Last season | Guelph Storm | OHL | 60 | 17 | 26 | 43 | 0.72 |