Prospect board, #1955 overall

Jabez Seymour

Right wing, 19.1 years old, Saint John Sea Dogs (QMJHL), 6′3″ 215 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

Long shot

Scouting report

Jabez Seymour is a 19-year-old right wing with Saint John Sea Dogs in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 11 games, 0.27 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 215 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner<1%
Middle-sixer<1%
Fourth-liner1%
Tweener2%
AHLer18%

How he got there

1His line
0.27 P/GP
1 G, 2 A in 11 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
3 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+10%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
37 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Saint John Sea Dogs	QMJHL	11	1	2	3	0.27
Last season	Saint John Sea Dogs	QMJHL	60	11	5	16	0.27