GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #989 overall

Jace Evans

Centre, 17.9 years old, Rouyn-Noranda Huskies (QMJHL), 5′11″ 171 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

8%

Long shot

Scouting report

Jace Evans is a 17-year-old centre with Rouyn-Noranda Huskies in the QMJHL. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 20 games, 0.05 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 171 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer7%
  4. Fourth-liner8%
  5. Tweener16%
  6. AHLer25%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.05 P/GP

    0 G, 1 A in 20 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    1 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −5%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    17.9

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    49 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL200110.05