Prospect board, #453 overall
Jack Becker
Forward, 23.3 years old, Texas Stars (AHL), 6′3″ 216 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
26%
Scouting report
Jack Becker is a 23-year-old forward with Texas Stars in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 6 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 216 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 26% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 29 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner26%
- Tweener37%
- AHLer (most likely)94%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+13%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
23.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
29 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Texas Stars | AHL | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Texas Stars | AHL | 71 | 14 | 26 | 40 | 0.56 |