GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2229 overall

Jack LaBrash

Left wing, 19.5 years old, Kitchener Rangers (OHL), 6′5″ 196 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

1%

Long shot

Scouting report

Jack LaBrash is a 19-year-old left wing with Kitchener Rangers in the OHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 4 assists in 13 games, 0.38 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.15 a game last season. His team scores 2.9 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-5 and 196 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner1%
  5. Tweener2%
  6. AHLer6%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.38 P/GP

    1 G, 4 A in 13 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +15%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    31 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonKitchener RangersOHL131450.38
Last seasonKitchener RangersOHL404260.15