GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1546 overall

Jackson Batchilder

Defence, 18.6 years old, Moncton Wildcats (QMJHL), 6′1″ 156 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

4%

Long shot

Scouting report

Jackson Batchilder is an 18-year-old defenceman with Moncton Wildcats in the QMJHL. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 10 games, 0.10 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 156 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair1%
  3. Second-pair2%
  4. Third-pair4%
  5. Tweener6%
  6. AHLer20%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.10 P/GP

    0 G, 1 A in 10 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    1 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    No change

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    18.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonMoncton WildcatsQMJHL100110.10
Last seasonMoncton WildcatsQMJHL270440.15