Prospect board, #1867 overall
Jack Toogood
Right wing, 19.1 years old, Lethbridge Hurricanes (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
2%
Scouting report
Jack Toogood is a 19-year-old right wing with Lethbridge Hurricanes in the WHL, undrafted. He has 3 goals and 1 assist in 13 games, 0.31 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.73 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer1%
- Fourth-liner2%
- Tweener2%
- AHLer15%
How he got there
1His line
0.31 P/GP
3 G, 1 A in 13 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
4 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+28%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
44 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Lethbridge Hurricanes | WHL | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0.31 |