GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1489 overall

Jack Van Volsen

Centre, 20.7 years old, Sarnia Sting (OHL), 6′2″ 190 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

5%

Long shot

Scouting report

Jack Van Volsen is a 20-year-old centre with Sarnia Sting in the OHL, undrafted. He has 6 goals and 8 assists in 12 games, 1.17 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.56 a game last season. At 20.7 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 190 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner5%
  5. Tweener7%
  6. AHLer31%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.17 P/GP

    6 G, 8 A in 12 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    14 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −4%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    20.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    31 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSarnia StingOHL1268141.17
Last seasonSarnia StingOHL682018380.56