GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1354 overall

Jacob Hamel

Defence, 17.9 years old, Rouyn-Noranda Huskies (QMJHL), 6′0″ 177 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

6%

Long shot

Scouting report

Jacob Hamel is a 17-year-old defenceman with Rouyn-Noranda Huskies in the QMJHL. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 43 games, 0.07 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 177 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 6% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair2%
  3. Second-pair2%
  4. Third-pair6%
  5. Tweener9%
  6. AHLer24%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.07 P/GP

    1 G, 2 A in 43 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    1 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −4%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    17.9

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    30 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL431230.07