Prospect board, #831 overall
Jacob Kvasnicka
Right wing, 19.1 years old, Penticton Vees (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
8%
Scouting report
Jacob Kvasnicka is a 19-year-old right wing with Penticton Vees in the WHL, undrafted. He has 35 goals and 50 assists in 65 games, 1.31 a game, which works out to about 15 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a first-line career. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- First-liner4%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner8%
- Tweener10%
- AHLer (most likely)60%
How he got there
1His line
1.31 P/GP
35 G, 50 A in 65 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
15 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
50 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Penticton Vees | WHL | 65 | 35 | 50 | 85 | 1.31 |