Prospect board, #1312 overall
Jake Boguniecki
Defence, 17.4 years old, Moncton Wildcats (QMJHL), 6′2″ 184 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
5%
Scouting report
Jake Boguniecki is a 17-year-old defenceman with Moncton Wildcats in the QMJHL. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 10 games, 0.10 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 184 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair2%
- Second-pair3%
- Third-pair5%
- Tweener9%
- AHLer21%
How he got there
1His line
0.10 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 10 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
1 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
38 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Moncton Wildcats | QMJHL | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 |