GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1741 overall

Jake Chiasson

Right wing, 23.3 years old, Laval Rocket (AHL), 6′2″ 181 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

3%

Long shot

Scouting report

Jake Chiasson is a 23-year-old right wing with Laval Rocket in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 20 games, 0.05 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 181 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner3%
  5. Tweener3%
  6. AHLer24%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.05 P/GP

    0 G, 1 A in 20 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    2 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −4%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    23.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    30 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonLaval RocketAHL200110.05