Prospect board, #647 overall
Jake Richard
Right wing, 22.1 years old, Rochester Americans (AHL), 6′1″ 190 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
19%
Scouting report
Jake Richard is a 22-year-old right wing with Rochester Americans in the AHL. He has 2 goals and 1 assist in 6 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 190 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 19% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer5%
- Fourth-liner19%
- Tweener26%
- AHLer (most likely)63%
How he got there
1His line
0.50 P/GP
2 G, 1 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
16 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+2%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
32 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Rochester Americans | AHL | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.50 |