Prospect board, #626 overall
Jake Ritson
Left wing, 17.6 years old, London Knights (OHL), 6′1″ 190 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
22%
Scouting report
Jake Ritson is a 17-year-old left wing with London Knights in the OHL. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 8 games, 0.38 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.3 a game, one of the better offences around. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 190 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 22% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer5%
- Fourth-liner22%
- Tweener32%
- AHLer49%
How he got there
1His line
0.38 P/GP
1 G, 2 A in 8 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
4 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−16%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
17.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
32 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | London Knights | OHL | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.38 |
| Last season | London Knights | OHL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |