Prospect board, #1351 overall
James Barr
Defence, 19.3 years old, Sarnia Sting (OHL), 6′1″ 182 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
11%
Scouting report
James Barr is a 19-year-old defenceman with Sarnia Sting in the OHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 10 assists in 28 games, 0.39 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. The five best scorers around him average only 0.67 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 182 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair1%
- Third-pair11%
- Tweener12%
- AHLer16%
How he got there
1His line
0.39 P/GP
1 G, 10 A in 28 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+19%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
20 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Sarnia Sting | OHL | 28 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 0.39 |