Prospect board, #193 overall
James Scantlebury
Centre, 17.7 years old, Québec Remparts (QMJHL), 5′10″ 175 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
33%
Scouting report
James Scantlebury is a 17-year-old centre with Québec Remparts in the QMJHL. He has 9 goals and 10 assists in 10 games, 1.90 a game, which works out to about 18 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 175 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a tweener, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 33% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 15% of a first-line career and 4% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 47 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite4%
- First-liner15%
- Middle-sixer18%
- Fourth-liner33%
- Tweener (most likely)55%
- AHLer62%
How he got there
1His line
1.90 P/GP
9 G, 10 A in 10 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
18 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−10%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
17.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
47 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Québec Remparts | QMJHL | 10 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 1.90 |