GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1875 overall

Jared Langdon

Centre, 19.8 years old, Niagara IceDogs (OHL), 6′0″ 194 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

4%

Long shot

Scouting report

Jared Langdon is a 19-year-old centre with Niagara IceDogs in the OHL, undrafted. He has 3 goals and 6 assists in 10 games, 0.90 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.30 a game last season. His team scores 3.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. At 19.8 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 194 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner4%
  5. Tweener5%
  6. AHLer8%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.90 P/GP

    3 G, 6 A in 10 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    11 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +11%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.8

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    30 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonNiagara IceDogsOHL103690.90
Last seasonOwen Sound AttackOHL234370.30