GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1200 overall

Jason Musa

Left wing, 19.4 years old, Brantford Bulldogs (OHL), 5′8″ 157 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

5%

Long shot

Scouting report

Jason Musa is a 19-year-old left wing with Brantford Bulldogs in the OHL, undrafted. He has 9 goals and 7 assists in 12 games, 1.33 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. Listed at 5-foot-8 and 157 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner5%
  5. Tweener14%
  6. AHLer40%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.33 P/GP

    9 G, 7 A in 12 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    16 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +3%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    36 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonBrantford BulldogsOHL1297161.33