GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2114 overall

Jaxon Kehrig

Centre, 19.1 years old, Kelowna Rockets (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

1%

Long shot

Scouting report

Jaxon Kehrig is a 19-year-old centre with Kelowna Rockets in the WHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 7 games, 0.43 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner1%
  5. Tweener1%
  6. AHLer11%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.43 P/GP

    1 G, 2 A in 7 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −4%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    42 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonKelowna RocketsWHL71230.43
Last seasonKelowna RocketsWHL502790.18