GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #858 overall

Jaxson Craig

Centre, 17.1 years old, Medicine Hat Tigers (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

11%

Long shot

Scouting report

Jaxson Craig is a 17-year-old centre with Medicine Hat Tigers in the WHL. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

At 17.1 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite1%
  2. First-liner1%
  3. Middle-sixer9%
  4. Fourth-liner11%
  5. Tweener15%
  6. AHLer38%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.33 P/GP

    0 G, 2 A in 6 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    4 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −9%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    17.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    45 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonMedicine Hat TigersWHL60220.33