GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1085 overall

Jayden Napon

Left wing, 17.3 years old, Halifax Mooseheads (QMJHL), 5′11″ 169 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

7%

Long shot

Scouting report

Jayden Napon is a 17-year-old left wing with Halifax Mooseheads in the QMJHL. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 9 games, 0.22 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

At 17.3 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 169 pounds. His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite1%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer3%
  4. Fourth-liner7%
  5. Tweener16%
  6. AHLer26%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.22 P/GP

    1 G, 1 A in 9 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    2 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +2%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    17.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    45 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL91120.22