Jayden Plouffe

Left wing, 18.6 years old, Sherbrooke Phœnix (QMJHL), 5′11″ 174 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

20%

AHLer

Scouting report

Jayden Plouffe is an 18-year-old left wing with Sherbrooke Phœnix in the QMJHL. He has 4 goals and 7 assists in 10 games, 1.10 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.70 a game last season. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 174 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 20% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a first-line career. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite1%
First-liner4%
Middle-sixer10%
Fourth-liner20%
Tweener27%
AHLer (most likely)57%

How he got there

1His line
1.10 P/GP
4 G, 7 A in 10 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
10 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−7%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Sherbrooke Phœnix	QMJHL	10	4	7	11	1.10
Last season	Sherbrooke Phœnix	QMJHL	60	17	25	42	0.70