Jérémie Dumas-Larouche

Scouting report

Jérémie Dumas-Larouche is a 21-year-old defenceman with Gatineau Olympiques in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 5 goals and 16 assists in 63 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 3 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. His team scores 2.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.51 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. At 21.5 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 203 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.