Prospect board, #1444 overall
Jesse Nurmi
Left wing, 21.5 years old, London Knights (OHL), 6′0″ 180 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
5%
Scouting report
Jesse Nurmi is a 21-year-old left wing with London Knights in the OHL, undrafted. He has 14 goals and 17 assists in 30 games, 1.03 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. At 21.5 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 180 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner5%
- Tweener10%
- AHLer19%
How he got there
1His line
1.03 P/GP
14 G, 17 A in 30 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
12 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+12%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
35 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | London Knights | OHL | 30 | 14 | 17 | 31 | 1.03 |