Prospect board, #840 overall
Jimmy Lombardi
Centre, 19.6 years old, Flint Firebirds (OHL), 6′1″ 193 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
10%
Scouting report
Jimmy Lombardi is a 19-year-old centre with Flint Firebirds in the OHL, undrafted. He has 4 goals and 10 assists in 8 games, 1.75 a game, which works out to about 21 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. That is up from 1.11 a game last season. At 19.6 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 193 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 10% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer5%
- Fourth-liner10%
- Tweener17%
- AHLer (most likely)54%
How he got there
1His line
1.75 P/GP
4 G, 10 A in 8 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
21 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Flint Firebirds | OHL | 8 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 1.75 |
| Last season | Flint Firebirds | OHL | 65 | 36 | 36 | 72 | 1.11 |