Prospect board, #507 overall
Johannes Dobrovolny
Centre, 17.9 years old, Baie-Comeau Drakkar (QMJHL), 5′11″ 175 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
19%
Scouting report
Johannes Dobrovolny is a 17-year-old centre with Baie-Comeau Drakkar in the QMJHL. He has 2 goals and 4 assists in 10 games, 0.60 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.55 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 175 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 19% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a first-line career. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner4%
- Middle-sixer12%
- Fourth-liner19%
- Tweener40%
- AHLer44%
How he got there
1His line
0.60 P/GP
2 G, 4 A in 10 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+44%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
42 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Baie-Comeau Drakkar | QMJHL | 10 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0.60 |