Prospect board, #877 overall
Jonas Woo
Defence, 19.8 years old, Medicine Hat Tigers (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
12%
Scouting report
Jonas Woo is a 19-year-old defenceman with Medicine Hat Tigers in the WHL, undrafted. He has 29 goals and 57 assists in 56 games, 1.54 a game, which works out to about 18 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 5.0 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.42 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. At 19.8 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 12% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a top-pair career. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair3%
- Second-pair3%
- Third-pair12%
- Tweener13%
- AHLer49%
How he got there
1His line
1.54 P/GP
29 G, 57 A in 56 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
18 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−23%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.8
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
26 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Medicine Hat Tigers | WHL | 56 | 29 | 57 | 86 | 1.54 |