GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1531 overall

Jonathan Kapageridis

Defence, 19.4 years old, London Knights (OHL), 6′0″ 182 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

5%

Long shot

Scouting report

Jonathan Kapageridis is a 19-year-old defenceman with London Knights in the OHL, undrafted. He has 2 goals and 8 assists in 9 games, 1.11 a game, which works out to about 13 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. That is up from 0.33 a game last season. His team scores 4.3 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 182 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair<1%
  4. Third-pair5%
  5. Tweener8%
  6. AHLer24%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.11 P/GP

    2 G, 8 A in 9 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    13 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −15%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    22 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonLondon KnightsOHL928101.11
Last seasonNorth Bay BattalionOHL55216180.33