Prospect board, #1367 overall
Josh Demers
Right wing, 18.6 years old, Val-d'Or Foreurs (QMJHL), 5′11″ 208 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
5%
Scouting report
Josh Demers is an 18-year-old right wing with Val-d'Or Foreurs in the QMJHL. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 12 games, 0.08 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
That is down from 0.31 a game last season, and the projection drops with it. The five best scorers around him average 1.42 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 208 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner5%
- Tweener8%
- AHLer35%
How he got there
1His line
0.08 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 12 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
1 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−15%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
38 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Val-d'Or Foreurs | QMJHL | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 |
| Last season | Val-d'Or Foreurs | QMJHL | 62 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 0.31 |