Prospect board, #1031 overall
Josh Nadeau
Forward, 22.9 years old, Laval Rocket (AHL), 5′8″ 172 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
9%
Scouting report
Josh Nadeau is a 22-year-old forward with Laval Rocket in the AHL. He has 2 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.2 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.47 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 5-foot-8 and 172 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 9% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner9%
- Tweener13%
- AHLer (most likely)52%
How he got there
1His line
0.50 P/GP
2 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
16 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−24%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Laval Rocket | AHL | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.50 |
| Last season | Laval Rocket | AHL | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.50 |