Prospect board, #255 overall
Joshua Roy
Left wing, 23.1 years old, Tucson Roadrunners (AHL), 6′0″ 187 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
37%
Scouting report
Joshua Roy is a 23-year-old left wing with Tucson Roadrunners in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 187 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 37% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 31 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer7%
- Fourth-liner37%
- Tweener (most likely)62%
- AHLer95%
How he got there
1His line
0.33 P/GP
0 G, 2 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
23.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Tucson Roadrunners | AHL | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.33 |
| Last season | Laval Rocket | AHL | 57 | 23 | 22 | 45 | 0.79 |