Prospect board, #74 overall
JP Hurlbert
Right wing, 18.4 years old, Kamloops Blazers (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
48%
Scouting report
JP Hurlbert is an 18-year-old right wing with Kamloops Blazers in the WHL. He has 42 goals and 55 assists in 68 games, 1.43 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 48% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 26% of a first-line career and 15% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 57 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite15%
- First-liner26%
- Middle-sixer36%
- Fourth-liner48%
- Tweener (most likely)60%
- AHLer89%
How he got there
1His line
1.43 P/GP
42 G, 55 A in 68 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
17 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−1%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
57 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Kamloops Blazers | WHL | 68 | 42 | 55 | 97 | 1.43 |