Prospect board, #1301 overall
Justin Blais
Defence, 19.0 years old, Gatineau Olympiques (QMJHL), 6′0″ 195 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
6%
Scouting report
Justin Blais is an 18-year-old defenceman with Gatineau Olympiques in the QMJHL. He has 0 goals and 6 assists in 12 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.26 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 195 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 6% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair1%
- Second-pair3%
- Third-pair6%
- Tweener8%
- AHLer27%
How he got there
1His line
0.50 P/GP
0 G, 6 A in 12 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+11%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Gatineau Olympiques | QMJHL | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0.50 |
| Last season | Gatineau Olympiques | QMJHL | 39 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 0.26 |