GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1240 overall

Justin Handsor

Defence, 19.0 years old, Barrie Colts (OHL), 6′1″ 202 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

7%

Long shot

Scouting report

Justin Handsor is an 18-year-old defenceman with Barrie Colts in the OHL. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 11 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

That is down from 0.24 a game last season, and the projection drops with it. His team scores 1.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.45 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 202 pounds. His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair3%
  4. Third-pair7%
  5. Tweener11%
  6. AHLer33%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 11 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +44%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.0

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    26 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonBarrie ColtsOHL110000.00
Last seasonBarrie ColtsOHL59410140.24