Prospect board, #1133 overall
Justin Janicke
Forward, 23.2 years old, Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL), 6′0″ 190 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
10%
Scouting report
Justin Janicke is a 23-year-old forward with Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 11 games, 0.18 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 190 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 10% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner10%
- Tweener12%
- AHLer49%
How he got there
1His line
0.18 P/GP
0 G, 2 A in 11 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−6%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
23.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
27 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Coachella Valley Firebirds | AHL | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.18 |