Prospect board, #1007 overall
Kale Dach
Centre, 19.6 years old, Calgary Hitmen (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
7%
Scouting report
Kale Dach is a 19-year-old centre with Calgary Hitmen in the WHL, undrafted. He has 34 goals and 41 assists in 63 games, 1.19 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a first-line career. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer3%
- Fourth-liner7%
- Tweener7%
- AHLer (most likely)55%
How he got there
1His line
1.19 P/GP
34 G, 41 A in 63 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
14 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+5%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
45 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Calgary Hitmen | WHL | 63 | 34 | 41 | 75 | 1.19 |