GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #810 overall

Kam Hodgson

Right wing, 18.4 years old, North Bay Battalion (OHL), 6′0″ 181 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

11%

Long shot

Scouting report

Kam Hodgson is an 18-year-old right wing with North Bay Battalion in the OHL. He has 4 goals and 2 assists in 11 games, 0.55 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.9 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.81 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 181 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer5%
  4. Fourth-liner11%
  5. Tweener27%
  6. AHLer41%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.55 P/GP

    4 G, 2 A in 11 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    6 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +24%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    18.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    38 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonNorth Bay BattalionOHL114260.55