Prospect board, #28 overall
Kash Kwajah
Centre, 16.0 years old, Sudbury Wolves (OHL), 5′10″ 175 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
67%
Scouting report
Kash Kwajah is a 16-year-old centre with Sudbury Wolves in the OHL. He has 3 goals and 8 assists in 10 games, 1.10 a game, which works out to about 13 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. The five best scorers around him average 1.34 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them.
At 16.0 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 175 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a middle-sixer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 67% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 38% of a first-line career and 13% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 56 points a season at his best. Moving up a tier would take scoring well above his league's top-line rate.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite13%
- First-liner38%
- Middle-sixer (most likely)54%
- Fourth-liner67%
- Tweener72%
- AHLer81%
How he got there
1His line
1.10 P/GP
3 G, 8 A in 10 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
13 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−15%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
16.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
56 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Sudbury Wolves | OHL | 10 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 1.10 |