Prospect board, #233 overall
Kayden Stroeder
Centre, 17.5 years old, Edmonton Oil Kings (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
30%
Scouting report
Kayden Stroeder is a 17-year-old centre with Edmonton Oil Kings in the WHL. He has 6 goals and 6 assists in 9 games, 1.33 a game, which works out to about 15 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.58 a game last season.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 30% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 11% of a first-line career and 5% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 48 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite5%
- First-liner11%
- Middle-sixer19%
- Fourth-liner30%
- Tweener40%
- AHLer (most likely)72%
How he got there
1His line
1.33 P/GP
6 G, 6 A in 9 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
15 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+11%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
48 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Edmonton Oil Kings | WHL | 9 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 1.33 |
| Last season | Edmonton Oil Kings | WHL | 55 | 13 | 19 | 32 | 0.58 |