GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1051 overall

Kenta Isogai

Forward, 22.1 years old, Ontario Reign (AHL), 5′11″ 175 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

11%

Long shot

Scouting report

Kenta Isogai is a 22-year-old forward with Ontario Reign in the AHL. He has 3 goals and 3 assists in 28 games, 0.21 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 175 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer1%
  4. Fourth-liner11%
  5. Tweener16%
  6. AHLer43%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.21 P/GP

    3 G, 3 A in 28 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    7 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −2%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    22.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    29 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonOntario ReignAHL283360.21