Prospect board, #186 overall
Kent Greer
Defence, 18.6 years old, North Bay Battalion (OHL), 5′9″ 163 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
38%
Scouting report
Kent Greer is an 18-year-old defenceman with North Bay Battalion in the OHL. He has 10 goals and 23 assists in 58 games, 0.57 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. Listed at 5-foot-9 and 163 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 38% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 9% of a top-pair career and 4% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 31 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite4%
- Top-pair9%
- Second-pair21%
- Third-pair38%
- Tweener (most likely)54%
- AHLer75%
How he got there
1His line
0.57 P/GP
10 G, 23 A in 58 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
7 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+3%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
18.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | North Bay Battalion | OHL | 58 | 10 | 23 | 33 | 0.57 |