Prospect board, #267 overall
Kevin Korchinski
Defence, 22.2 years old, Rockford IceHogs (AHL), 6′1″ 185 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
33%
Scouting report
Kevin Korchinski is a 22-year-old defenceman with Rockford IceHogs in the AHL. He has 2 goals and 24 assists in 53 games, 0.49 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 185 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 33% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a top-pair career. If he makes it, figure about 23 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair3%
- Second-pair8%
- Third-pair33%
- Tweener (most likely)59%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.49 P/GP
2 G, 24 A in 53 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
16 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+6%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
23 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Rockford IceHogs | AHL | 53 | 2 | 24 | 26 | 0.49 |