Prospect board, #321 overall
Kirill Kudryavtsev
Defence, 22.6 years old, Abbotsford Canucks (AHL), 5′11″ 200 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
29%
Scouting report
Kirill Kudryavtsev is a 22-year-old defenceman with Abbotsford Canucks in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 3 assists in 3 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 32 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.7 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 200 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 29% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 24 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair3%
- Second-pair8%
- Third-pair29%
- Tweener (most likely)53%
- AHLer90%
How he got there
1His line
1.00 P/GP
0 G, 3 A in 3 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
32 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−12%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
24 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Abbotsford Canucks | AHL | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1.00 |
| Last season | Abbotsford Canucks | AHL | 44 | 2 | 18 | 20 | 0.45 |