Prospect board, #2186 overall
Koby Francis
Right wing, 19.4 years old, Chicoutimi Saguenéens (QMJHL), 6′1″ 184 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
1%
Scouting report
Koby Francis is a 19-year-old right wing with Chicoutimi Saguenéens in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 2 goals and 4 assists in 28 games, 0.21 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 5.5 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.25 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 184 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner1%
- Tweener1%
- AHLer8%
How he got there
1His line
0.21 P/GP
2 G, 4 A in 28 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
2 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−26%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Chicoutimi Saguenéens | QMJHL | 28 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0.21 |