GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2251 overall

Konstantin Hutzinger

Left wing, 19.3 years old, Saskatoon Blades (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

<1%

Long shot

Scouting report

Konstantin Hutzinger is a 19-year-old left wing with Saskatoon Blades in the WHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 9 games, 0.22 a game, which works out to about 3 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.2 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.57 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a under 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner<1%
  5. Tweener1%
  6. AHLer7%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.22 P/GP

    1 G, 1 A in 9 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    3 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −26%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    5 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSaskatoon BladesWHL91120.22